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Old 11-06-2008, 09:56 AM   #41 (permalink)
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McCain should not have been the nominee of the party. In the primary Romney got the fiscally conservative vote and Huckabee got the religious vote - these two categories form the Republican base. McCain got everything else, including some Democrats who voted in the Republican primary. McCain is as close to being a Democrat as a Republican can get, given the choice between a real Democrat and a "Democrat light", moderates and independents picked the real Democrat. McCain also ran a character campaign, which was a mistake. I prefer to vote "for" someone or something, not against someone or something. McCain never made his case for why I should vote "for" him, he mostly made the case of why I should vote against Obama.
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Old 11-06-2008, 10:09 AM   #42 (permalink)
 
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McCain should not have been the nominee of the party. In the primary Romney got the fiscally conservative vote and Huckabee got the religious vote - these two categories form the Republican base. McCain got everything else, including some Democrats who voted in the Republican primary. McCain is as close to being a Democrat as a Republican can get, given the choice between a real Democrat and a "Democrat light", moderates and independents picked the real Democrat. McCain also ran a character campaign, which was a mistake. I prefer to vote "for" someone or something, not against someone or something. McCain never made his case for why I should vote "for" him, he mostly made the case of why I should vote against Obama.
ace...IMO, your comments are why the Repubilcan party will continue to shrink and become the "small tent" party with a conservative litmus test.

Remember the days of Rockefeller/Dirksen/Percy repubilcans..that party no longer exists.
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Old 11-06-2008, 10:12 AM   #43 (permalink)
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McCain should not have been the nominee of the party. In the primary Romney got the fiscally conservative vote and Huckabee got the religious vote - these two categories form the Republican base. McCain got everything else,
Apparently, "everything else" is now the majority in the GOP. They better embrace that rather than coming back with the two men kissing issue.
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Old 11-06-2008, 10:13 AM   #44 (permalink)
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The Dems targeted young voters and new voters, which will provide a new and growing base. The use of the internet and text messages to get volunteers active and keep them informed was part of the reason the Dems raised so much cash. Meanwhile, the McCain camp played to the masses that barely won them the elections in 2000 and 2004, and didn't even try to get the young vote.
The Republicans are technically competent, too. In fact, until very recently, they were better at it than Democrats. Their problem was that they didn't have anyone to use the tools. Here in Wisconsin, the Obama campaign had operations everywhere, in little villages as well as Milwaukee and Madison. That difference is apparent in the county results. Obama won 59 out of 72 counties, everywhere except the Milwaukee & Minneapolis suburbs and a few scattered outposts like Fond du Lac & Walworth Co. Even where the McCain campaign had operations, they didn't have enough people to keep them open. They were empty most of the time. We got robocalls and mailings, but never direct human contact.

They didn't get people excited about their campaign becayse they didn't have a message. The economic crisis and Obama knocked away the two pillars of post-Goldwater Republicanism.

From the passage of the Civil Rights Act up until this summer, the Republicans were able to exploit white resentment & backlash against the civil rights movement. Although they would not and could not admit it explicitly, the identity politics they adopted in the campaign were clearly a politics of whiteness. That backfired against Obama, because the implicit message contradicted the surface projections of neutrality. The conflict in messages made McCain seem either out of control or duplicitous. Voters who wanted to move America beyond race -- which is the GOP message on racial issues & what Rush & Fox say they stand for -- voted for Obama. And that does not mean that Obama supporters voted for him because of the colour of his skin. Alan Keyes would not have defeated Obama. Of course, given the way the party defined itself, Keyes or Rice or Powell would not have won the nomination.

The problems with the identity-based campaign exposed other weaknesses. The biggest of these was the collapse of neoliberalism, another pillar of Republican ideology. McCain and the Republicans at first wanted to deny the problems even existed. When that was no longer viable they announced they were "going negative", in other words, that they had nothing to offer. They're going to have get beyond that kind of reaction.

Where do you go when the terms and operations that define who you are politically no longer function? That's up to them. I'm not a Republican.
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Old 11-06-2008, 10:32 AM   #45 (permalink)
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ace...IMO, your comments are why the Repubilcan party will continue to shrink and become the "small tent" party with a conservative litmus test.

Remember the days of Rockefeller/Dirksen/Percy repubilcans..that party no longer exists.
I don't remember the days of Rokerfeller...I became a Republican when Reagan was in office. When I look back on a historical basis I found it interesting that Martin Luther King was a Republican.

Regarding the "small tent" issue - I am not concerned with the size of the "tent", I don't compromise on my core beliefs and if being "big tent" means bigger government (in terms of the percent of GDP - I know government gets bigger when the economy grows but government should not grow at a faster rate than the economy and should be smaller than it is now) count me out. The conservative case can be made and conservatives can get votes without compromising core beliefs.
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Old 11-06-2008, 10:42 AM   #46 (permalink)
 
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I The conservative case can be made and conservatives can get votes without compromising core beliefs.
ace....ff thats what you believe...it works for me too!

The narrower your ideology, the smaller your voter base and the less appeal to the growing number of independents.

I believe that a party can represent a diversity of views w/o comproming core beliefs.
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Old 11-06-2008, 10:42 AM   #47 (permalink)
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Apparently, "everything else" is now the majority in the GOP. They better embrace that rather than coming back with the two men kissing issue.
In a simplistic way I would divide the Republican primary votes in 3. McCain had the advatage of 2/3's of the real Republican vote split and he got independents and cross-over votes. McCain did not get a majority of the Republican vote. Also, compared to Obama, McCain's support was weak among those who supported him. When Bush ran in 2000 and 2004, I volunteered to work both times. I did not do anything other than vote to get McCain elected.
-----Added 6/11/2008 at 12 : 46 : 15-----
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I believe that a party can represent a diversity of views w/o comproming core beliefs.
I think there can be a diversity of people in a party, but not a diversity of views on the core issues. What you describe seems to be a collection of people with no direction to me.
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Old 11-06-2008, 10:52 AM   #48 (permalink)
 
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I think there can be a diversity of people in a party, but not a diversity of views on the core issues. What you describe seems to be a collection of people with no direction to me.
ace...thats the problem I have with rigid ideologues of any persuasion.

Ideologues see things solely in black and white...no shades of gray allowed!
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Old 11-06-2008, 11:11 AM   #49 (permalink)
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ace...thats the problem I have with rigid ideologues of any persuasion.

Ideologues see things solely in black and white...no shades of gray allowed!
Just for the record there are differences between core beliefs/values and general ideas and concepts. For example the concept of taxation can be explored and debated and compromises reached, but the core belief in the individual benefiting from their labor in their own legal manner is not.
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Old 11-06-2008, 11:29 AM   #50 (permalink)
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When I look back on a historical basis I found it interesting that Martin Luther King was a Republican.
How so? Here are two leading democrats from that time: Jesse Helms and Strom Thurmond. Would you think MLK would register to vote with them? Democrats at that time, especially in the south, were all for segregation. Many of them became republicans when it was inevitable.

Ask any southern historian, the republican party of today is the democratic party prior to 1970. The democratic party of today is the same as the republican party prior to 1970.
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Old 11-06-2008, 12:07 PM   #51 (permalink)
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When I look back on a historical basis I found it interesting that Martin Luther King was a Republican.
And if Dr. King were alive today, no doubt he would be disappointed in what his party has become.
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Old 11-06-2008, 01:11 PM   #52 (permalink)
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i'm going wtih poppin jay on that one...plus, i think he owed a pardon to one of the parties...

but still..when you look at who he could have supported..you get : Jesse helms an strom thurmond...the dem party was ...just 'sliiightly' racist...strom thurmond having the record filibuster against ending segregation....oh yea, SC is so great sometimes. plus, he was on the dixiecrat ticket...oh yea..lots of reasons for MLK to be republican back then.

Actually, thurmond's change to the republican party is part of what caused the state to go red..and stay there.
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Old 11-06-2008, 01:21 PM   #53 (permalink)
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Ask any southern historian, the republican party of today is the democratic party prior to 1970. The democratic party of today is the same as the republican party prior to 1970.
This, right here is what a lot of people don't understand.
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Old 11-06-2008, 01:35 PM   #54 (permalink)
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The answer(s) are simple:

1) The long primary season
2) South Carolina

1) By having the primaries spread out across weeks, the media has the ability to control the nominees. Think back, if all primaries were held on the same day as the Iowa caucas, the general election candidates would have been Hilary Clinton and Mitt Romney. This rule should be changed, as the candidates have many methods to spread their message and no longer need the time to campaign in every state. It would also mitigate the influence that the media has on the election, which would be a very good thing.
2) This is a bit of a stretch, but stick with me. In 2000, Karl Rove introduced untrue and slanderous accusations into the South Carolina primary regarding John McCain's service and captivity in Vietnam. As a result, South Carolinians voted against McCain and propelled Bush into the nomination. Over the past 8 years, South Carolina has come to realize they were dupped by the Bush campaign and couldn't WAIT to apologize to McCain in this primary. Hence, SC voted for McCain in the primary over candidates that actually could have had a chance against Obama - the younger, more charismatic Romney....and even Huckabee. McCain was barely even noticed in the initial leg of the primary season. It wasn't until he won SC that the media started pushing him into the top spot and other states followed SC's lead. In short, I blame my state for electing Bush and now, by propping up an unelectable alternative, for electing Obama.

While this doesn't have anything to do with the thread - I vote third party and did not vote for McCain or Obama. Why yes, I believe Obama will be the worst President in history, will make us all long for the Bush years, and will set his race back 40 years. For decades, all other black candidates will suffer from the "remember the last time we elected one of them?" This is not because Obama is black, it's because....it doesn't matter what I say, he's the president elect. The election is over and I hope that I am wrong.
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Old 11-06-2008, 02:21 PM   #55 (permalink)
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One more thing:
You took the words right out of my mouth will.
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Old 11-06-2008, 02:32 PM   #56 (permalink)
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You took the words right out of my mouth will.
Are you guys suggesting that you would have voted for McCain if not for Palin?

For some of us Republicans, McCain got our support because of Palin. I was considering a vote for Barr and would have voted for Clinton if she was running against McCain.
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Old 11-06-2008, 02:50 PM   #57 (permalink)
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Just remember one thing.

Four years of Bush brought us a major terrorist attack, two wars, of which one was even then unpopular, and the Patriot Act, and and he still beat a legitimate Democrat candidate.

Four more years of unpopular war, political scandal and questionable legislation, the loss of Congress, running likely the worst possible candidate for the time, a polarizing VP pick, and a Democrat candidate who had a cult-like following and was worshiped and protected by his supporters and the media at-large...and Obama only won 53%-46%.

There seem to be an awful lot of cocky liberals in here who should be far more wary.

The Democrats may have control but if history tells us anything it is that things can change quickly. Four years is a long time.

I want to see this country remain great, so I would love to see Obama do well. However if anything bad happens he suddenly becomes Jimmy Carter, and in four years power will move back in the other direction even if the Republicans change very little.
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Old 11-06-2008, 02:53 PM   #58 (permalink)
 
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The answer(s) are simple:

1) The long primary season
2) South Carolina

1) By having the primaries spread out across weeks, the media has the ability to control the nominees. Think back, if all primaries were held on the same day as the Iowa caucas, the general election candidates would have been Hilary Clinton and Mitt Romney. This rule should be changed, as the candidates have many methods to spread their message and no longer need the time to campaign in every state. It would also mitigate the influence that the media has on the election, which would be a very good thing.
2) This is a bit of a stretch, but stick with me. In 2000, Karl Rove introduced untrue and slanderous accusations into the South Carolina primary regarding John McCain's service and captivity in Vietnam. As a result, South Carolinians voted against McCain and propelled Bush into the nomination. Over the past 8 years, South Carolina has come to realize they were dupped by the Bush campaign and couldn't WAIT to apologize to McCain in this primary. Hence, SC voted for McCain in the primary over candidates that actually could have had a chance against Obama - the younger, more charismatic Romney....and even Huckabee. McCain was barely even noticed in the initial leg of the primary season. It wasn't until he won SC that the media started pushing him into the top spot and other states followed SC's lead. In short, I blame my state for electing Bush and now, by propping up an unelectable alternative, for electing Obama.

While this doesn't have anything to do with the thread - I vote third party and did not vote for McCain or Obama. Why yes, I believe Obama will be the worst President in history, will make us all long for the Bush years, and will set his race back 40 years. For decades, all other black candidates will suffer from the "remember the last time we elected one of them?" This is not because Obama is black, it's because....it doesn't matter what I say, he's the president elect. The election is over and I hope that I am wrong.

Supposing this were true - could the Republicans have won?
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Old 11-06-2008, 03:01 PM   #59 (permalink)
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Are you guys suggesting that you would have voted for McCain if not for Palin?
Not at all. What I'm suggesting is that Palin being put on the ticket was a horrible idea. Sure, it rallied some of the base, but rallying the base isn't how you win after 8 years of Bush. You need centrism in order to recuperate. McCain sold his soul to try and win instead of remaining the John McCain of yore, and Osh Kosh Barbi was a slap in the face to anyone left of the far right with more than a few brain cells.

A vice presidential candidate shouldn't have to be told what the vice president does.
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Old 11-06-2008, 03:05 PM   #60 (permalink)
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Are you guys suggesting that you would have voted for McCain if not for Palin?

For some of us Republicans, McCain got our support because of Palin. I was considering a vote for Barr and would have voted for Clinton if she was running against McCain.
No I think what most people are saying is that they made sure not to vote for McCain because of Palin. She sure scared away a lot of independents and undecideds.
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Old 11-06-2008, 03:06 PM   #61 (permalink)
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aceventura, did you see some numbers that democrats voted for McCain in the primaries?
In California, voters can't vote for the opposite major party during the primaries. I think it's the case in Oregon, too, but I haven't voted there for about 15 years.
If most states have open primaries, then I guess unscrupulous people could sabotage the other party :\

I don't get the SC argument, cimarron. I mean, I understand what you're saying and it makes sense, but it seems like you're saying that if not for SC in 2000 McCain would have been a viable candidate against Bush. But now he's not? Why was he a viable candidate in 2000 but not in 2008?
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Old 11-06-2008, 03:08 PM   #62 (permalink)
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...and Obama only won 53%-46%.
Was it 7%? a 7% win is huge and the electoral college was a landslide.

Edit: Okay I guess not super huge but still. It was closer than it should have been because of the bible belt.
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