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		<title>Tilted Forum Project Discussion Community - Tilted Economics</title>
		<link>http://www.tfproject.org/tfp/</link>
		<description>Discuss the global financial crisis and other related topics</description>
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			<title>Tilted Forum Project Discussion Community - Tilted Economics</title>
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			<title>TFP Job Summit</title>
			<link>http://www.tfproject.org/tfp/tilted-economics/151986-tfp-job-summit.html</link>
			<pubDate>Wed, 18 Nov 2009 16:36:40 GMT</pubDate>
			<description><![CDATA[The Obama administration recently announced plans for a Job Summit. 
 
 
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The Obama administration announced plans Monday to hold a forum on jobs and economic growth at the White House on Dec. 3, after which the president will go on the road to demonstrate his concern about the nation's...]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div>The Obama administration recently announced plans for a Job Summit.<br />
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				The Obama administration announced plans Monday to hold a forum on jobs and economic growth at the White House on Dec. 3, after which the president will go on the road to demonstrate his concern about the nation's rising jobless rate.<br />
<br />
With the nation's unemployment rate at its highest level in 26 years, President Obama plans to bring together CEOs, small business owners and financial experts to sound out ideas for continuing to expand the economy and create jobs.
			
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</div><a href="http://voices.washingtonpost.com/44/2009/11/white-house-announces-a-jobs-s.html?wprss=44" target="_blank">44 - White House announces a jobs summit on Dec. 3</a><br />
<br />
I thought we could have our own job summit right here, and who knows maybe we can affect policy.<br />
<br />
As a small business owner the obstacles I face when I consider adding employees are:<br />
<br />
<b>Taxes</b> - I not only face the cost to employ a person in terms of their wage but I also face payroll taxes, unemployment taxes and work comp premiums (not technically a tax but I no choice but to pay the premiums).  Many employees don't realize how much these taxes are, not to mention the costs to file and pay all these taxes.<br />
<br />
<b>Costs</b> - Additional employees require office space, equipment (in my case a desk, phone, computer, etc),  and training.  These costs can be thousands of dollars before the employee does anything to help the bottom line.<br />
<br />
<b>Time</b>-  In order to hire someone I have to invest a lot of time in advertising, reviewing applicants, scheduling interviews, conducting interviews, checking backgrounds, negotiating pay, making an offer and coordinating initial employment issues.<br />
<br />
<b>Risks</b> - In order to hire someone I run the risk of making a mistake that could be a violation of state/local or federal employment law.  I could be sued for legitimate reason or for no legitimate reason but in either case I face the costs of defense.<br />
Being a small employer every person I hire initially wants to work for me, but I always face the risk of them leaving when a more &quot;sexy&quot; employer comes calling.  In that case I wasted a lot of time and money in hiring the person and training.<br />
Every time I hire a new person I have the risk that they don't really give a sh*t, and they can easily ruin customer relationships that may have taken years to develop with a single act.<br />
<br />
<b>Uncertainty</b> - I don't know what state/local or federal mandates will be applied to me in the future that may dramatically increase my costs or cause me to go out of business.<br />
<br />
<b>Minimum Wage</b> - I would love to give young people an opportunity to learn my business or just to get some experience, but they don't know anything and would add no value to my business.  If there was a way for me to give them this opportunity without it costing so much I would do it.<br />
<br />
<b>Credit Availability</b> - When I grow my business my receipts don't match my expenses.  Expenses for the increased activity comes first and having access to credit is needed to bridge the gap.  Currently, new credit is not being made available to small businesses and existing credit has been reduced and is at a higher cost.<br />
<br />
Given the above, hiring an additional person is the absolute last thing I want to do.  If there is any way for me to get by without hiring a new person, I would do it.<br />
<br />
So as a starting point the above are some obstacles,  I am sure other businesses face other obstacles or share some that I have.  So, lets put those obstacles on the table and discuss solutions.  Also, there may be some solutions for creating jobs that don't involve small business (I don't see how, but I am open) we can put those on the table as well.</div>

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			<category domain="http://www.tfproject.org/tfp/tilted-economics/">Tilted Economics</category>
			<dc:creator>aceventura3</dc:creator>
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			<title>Wire Transfers: Mexico to US</title>
			<link>http://www.tfproject.org/tfp/tilted-economics/151960-wire-transfers-mexico-us.html</link>
			<pubDate>Mon, 16 Nov 2009 15:46:53 GMT</pubDate>
			<description>My family in California has commented on how few illegal immigrants seem to be milling around in search of work since the recession hit.   This NY Times article shows a startling yet related trend.  Families in Mexico are starting to send money to their relatives in the United States. 
 
...</description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div>My family in California has commented on how few illegal immigrants seem to be milling around in search of work since the recession hit.   This NY Times article shows a startling yet related trend.  Families in Mexico are starting to send money to their relatives in the United States.<br />
<br />
<br />
Shortened from the NY Times article: <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2009/11/16/world/americas/16mexico.html?_r=1&amp;ref=global-home" target="_blank">http://www.nytimes.com/2009/11/16/wo...ef=global-home</a><br />
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				<b>Money Trickles North as Mexicans Help Relatives </b>By MARC LACEY<br />
MIAHUATLÁN, Mexico — <br />
...<br />
Unemployment has hit migrant communities in the United States so hard that a startling new phenomenon has been detected: instead of receiving remittances from relatives in the richest country on earth, some down-and-out Mexican families are scraping together what they can to support their unemployed loved ones in the United States.<br />
<br />
...<br />
Statistics measuring the extent of what experts are calling reverse remittances are hard to come by. But interviews in Mexico with government officials, money-transfer operators, immigration experts and relatives of out-of-work migrants show that a transaction that was rarely noticed before appears to be on the rise.<br />
...<br />
With nearly half its population living in poverty, Mexico is not well placed to prop up struggling citizens abroad. Mexico could lose as many as 735,000 jobs this year and its economy may decline 7.5 percent, government economists predict, making the country one of the worst affected by the global recession.<br />
<br />
Still, poverty is a relative concept. It is easier to get by on little in Mexico, especially in rural areas, allowing the poor to help the even more precarious.<br />
<br />
...<br />
Still, although a study by the Pew Hispanic Center from July showed a sharp decrease in the number of Mexicans heading north, there has been no sign of a mass exodus of migrants back to Mexico. Immigrants’ families say it took great effort to scrape together the thousands of dollars needed to send relatives to the United States, a sum that includes the fees charged by the people who help them sneak in.<br />
...<br />
As expected during an economic slowdown, the money sent home by immigrants has fallen. The Bank of Mexico reported recently that remittances during the first nine months of this year dropped to $16.4 billion, a 13.4 percent decline compared with the same period in 2008. <br />
<br />
The flow of money out of Mexico is believed to be a tiny fraction of the remittances still arriving. “The evidence in this regard so far is anecdotal,” said Juan Luis Ordaz, senior economist at the Spanish bank BBVA Bancomer, who has begun investigating the reverse money flow.<br />
<br />
Families of migrants speak proudly of their successful relatives in the United States and use the remittances they receive to do anything from buying livestock to replacing dirt floors with concrete. The importance of such money, which is among Mexico’s top sources of foreign currency, cannot be overstated. An estimated 5.9 percent of Mexican households, about 1.8 million families, receive economic support from abroad, studies show. For them, the money represents roughly 19 percent of total income for urban households and 27 percent for rural ones, according to government data analyzed by BBVA Bancomer.<br />
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</div>This is a striking trend.  <br />
<br />
<b> It brings up several questions:</b><br />
- Are you familiar with families who are currently faced with a similar situation?<br />
- Do you know anyone who was disgruntled with the current job market and has left your state/country to seek employment abroad?<br />
- Does this trend indicate a greater problem with a material-driven culture?<br />
- Does this mean that the US is any less of a world power?<br />
- One of the Mexican families in the article mentioned their land was theirs and couldn't be taken away.  With the trend of debt and mortgages in the US, do the homeowners in the US have this same stability?  Even for those who own their homes, would you feel confident raising livestock in Suburbia?<br />
<br />
I'm curious - how does this trend impact you?  What do you think of when you read about it?</div>

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			<category domain="http://www.tfproject.org/tfp/tilted-economics/">Tilted Economics</category>
			<dc:creator>genuinegirly</dc:creator>
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			<title>Emerging Markets</title>
			<link>http://www.tfproject.org/tfp/tilted-economics/151932-emerging-markets.html</link>
			<pubDate>Fri, 13 Nov 2009 19:31:52 GMT</pubDate>
			<description>There have been scads of articles recently on how the emerging economies have led the way out of the global economic ditch, and will continue to do so for the next few years.  These smaller markets, especially the BRIC (Brazil, Russia, India, China), really have been a moonshot up, but the...</description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div>There have been scads of articles recently on how the emerging economies have led the way out of the global economic ditch, and will continue to do so for the next few years.  These smaller markets, especially the BRIC (Brazil, Russia, India, China), really have been a moonshot up, but the conspiracy theorist in me is worried that the reason we're hearing so much about it now is because Goldman et al. are already long &amp; looking for counterparties to sell to so they can bank their next billion$.<br />
<br />
I trade the EEM (Emerging Markets ETF) all day, every day, so I'm stuck in the trees......eager to hear if some of you can see the forest.</div>

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			<category domain="http://www.tfproject.org/tfp/tilted-economics/">Tilted Economics</category>
			<dc:creator>jimk</dc:creator>
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			<title>Blame Obama for unemployment?</title>
			<link>http://www.tfproject.org/tfp/tilted-economics/151918-blame-obama-unemployment.html</link>
			<pubDate>Fri, 13 Nov 2009 00:38:42 GMT</pubDate>
			<description>Blame Obama for Sky-High Unemployment - FOXNews.com (http://www.foxnews.com/opinion/2009/11/10/john-lott-obama-high-unemployment-economy/) 
 
So, I could have put this in the politics section, but it also fits in here. 
 
Do you think the Obama administration has any control over private companies?...</description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div><a href="http://www.foxnews.com/opinion/2009/11/10/john-lott-obama-high-unemployment-economy/" target="_blank">Blame Obama for Sky-High Unemployment - FOXNews.com</a><br />
<br />
So, I could have put this in the politics section, but it also fits in here.<br />
<br />
Do you think the Obama administration has any control over private companies?  Are the private companies CEOs &amp; boards guessing that taxes are going to go up and are cutting back jobs, or are workers becoming too efficient and are eliminating their own jobs?  If I make a machine that doesn't need human interaction and can work 24/7, that means a few people aren't going to need to have a job anymore(and the company won't need me unless there are more machines that can be developed).  And since I'm not in a Union, I can be let go at any time they don't have work (and don't benefit from my machines that are still working).  <br />
<br />
And the jobs that are left are pretty basic (there were more cooks in the Taco Bell today than customers, I could take care of that with a few simple machines :) ).  It is hard to tell if the stimulus stopped millions of people from losing their jobs (I think it would have been a little better to have waited 6 months to pass the stimulus bill looking back).  Then again, millions more are living how I live (very cheaply and spending less), I still don't see anything close to a 'Great Depression' that the media thinks is happening. <br />
<br />
Do you think the government can do anything to create or promote industries (computers in 90s, DotCom in late 90s, housing in mid 2000), that were the driving force to get us out of the last downturns?  Is it only tax rates and spending that determine if the job market is good?  Or has the economy changed from one where millions of farmers were once required can now be done by a fraction of that.  A factory can be run with hundreds of machines that don't complain, aren't taxed, and hardly stop.<br />
<br />
edit:  I forgot to add this article I saw today.<br />
<a href="http://money.cnn.com/2009/11/12/news/economy/obama_economy/index.htm?cnn=yes" target="_blank">http://money.cnn.com/2009/11/12/news...ex.htm?cnn=yes</a></div>

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			<category domain="http://www.tfproject.org/tfp/tilted-economics/">Tilted Economics</category>
			<dc:creator>ASU2003</dc:creator>
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			<title>Question Regarding Unemployment  Insurance</title>
			<link>http://www.tfproject.org/tfp/tilted-economics/151822-question-regarding-unemployment-insurance.html</link>
			<pubDate>Fri, 06 Nov 2009 19:22:03 GMT</pubDate>
			<description>I was laid off early this year, I signed up for unemployment insurance the very next day. I was drawing on $450/week out of the maximum amount (~12k) they said I could draw from. Right now I am back in school. My question is once I have finish withdrawing all the money from the first 26 weeks...</description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div>I was laid off early this year, I signed up for unemployment insurance the very next day. I was drawing on $450/week out of the maximum amount (~12k) they said I could draw from. Right now I am back in school. My question is once I have finish withdrawing all the money from the first 26 weeks given, would I be eligible for a federal extension? Follow up question would be where the heck is all that money coming from?!</div>

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			<category domain="http://www.tfproject.org/tfp/tilted-economics/">Tilted Economics</category>
			<dc:creator>Corneo</dc:creator>
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